BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 Prediction: Who Will Claim the Title in Lisbon?
This Friday, March 28, the BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 playoffs will take place at the MEO Arena in Lisbon. Six teams – Vitality, Eternal Fire, NAVI, Spirit, MOUZ, and G2 – are ready to battle for the title and a share of the $400,000 prize pool, with $150,000 going to the champion. The group stage in Copenhagen delivered surprises, intense overtimes, and even some drama. Now, it’s time for the decisive clashes. Let’s analyze each team’s form, their past encounters, and who is most likely to lift the trophy on Sunday evening.
Teams Under the Microscope
Vitality: The French Machine with a Human Touch
Group Stage Performance: Vitality advanced from Group A with victories over Astralis, Virtus.pro, and MOUZ. It seemed like smooth sailing, but their rematch with MOUZ, a repeat of the ESL Pro League S21 grand final, was closer than expected, with both maps ending 13-11. Despite MOUZ putting up a fight, it always felt like Vitality had control.
Form: Vitality is currently a tank rolling through the battlefield, unfazed by minor obstacles. ZywOo continues to dominate, but what makes them truly terrifying is their team synergy. flameZ plays like he’s already won five Majors, while ropz quietly fulfills his role to perfection. apEX, with his emotional and flamboyant leadership, not only controls the game but also boosts the team’s morale. Even on an off day, they find ways to win, and right now, it’s unclear who can stop them.
Chance of Victory – 51.55%: Vitality is the clear favorite. They have a tough semifinal against either Spirit or NAVI, but given their current form, they’re unlikely to be too worried.
Eternal Fire: The Turkish Gladiators on the March
Group Stage Performance: Group B became their proving ground, where they shocked everyone by securing their first-ever victory over NAVI. Before that, they had already swept Liquid and G2 without dropping a map.
Form: Eternal Fire is a volcano that has finally erupted after a long period of simmering. XANTARES is back to his destructive best, and woxic maintains his high level of individual play from previous events. MAJ3R has successfully integrated the young firepower into an aggressive playstyle that crushes opponents. Their confidence after beating NAVI could be the fuel for further success. Starting directly in the semifinals is a bonus, as playing on a big stage has sometimes negatively impacted their performance in the past.
Chance of Victory – 22.22%: They’re just one step away from the final, making their victory more realistic. If XANTARES and woxic get into the zone, Lisbon could become their city.
Spirit: donk and His Crew
Group Stage Performance: Spirit defeated Mongolian newcomers The Huns in Group A before dropping to the lower bracket after losing 1-2 to MOUZ. To secure a playoff spot, they had to overcome FaZe and Virtus.pro, which they did with relative ease. Against VP, donk ended with a staggering 1.78 rating – a great sign for Spirit fans.
Form: After a lackluster IEM Katowice, Spirit is gradually regaining form, and most importantly, donk has turned his aimbot mode back on. They look like a team where everyone knows their role, but some players can still disappear from games, putting extra pressure on donk. Their loss to MOUZ was a prime example, though some might call it a fluke.
Chance of Victory – 25.00%: Spirit’s playoff bracket is brutal – they have to go through NAVI and Vitality just to reach the final, and then endure a BO5 grand final. But if donk delivers his peak performance, their chances will significantly increase.
Natus Vincere: Shadows of Former Glory
Group Stage Performance: NAVI started strong in Group B with a 2-0 win over FURIA, followed by a fortunate path through The MongolZ to secure a playoff spot. However, their crushing defeat against Eternal Fire exposed their current struggles – they’re merely a shadow of their mid-2024 form.
Form: NAVI resembles an aging champion trying to reclaim their title, but their once-devastating punches are now predictable. After a stellar 2024, they are clearly struggling in 2025: b1t and jL are out of form, w0nderful is inconsistent, and Aleksib seems lost, unable to implement B1ad3’s ideas. jL’s refusal to shake XANTARES’ hand after an in-game incident also hints at emotional instability within the squad. True champions don’t dwell on such trivial matters.
Chance of Victory – 7.14%: Their quarterfinal against Spirit is their last chance to prove they belong at the top. If they don’t find their spark, Lisbon could mark a turning point in a negative way.
MOUZ: The Young Guns in the Playoffs Again
Group Stage Performance: MOUZ had a tough Group A run, battling past Falcons and Spirit, with the latter match going to four overtimes on Ancient. While they lost a close rematch against Vitality (11-13, 11-13), they secured a playoff spot.
Form: The winter roster changes shook up the team, but siuhy’s departure no longer seems catastrophic. Brollan has struggled individually, but the experienced Spinx compensates with firepower and assists the young captain with mid-round calls. Spinx might even be an upgrade, providing leadership and firepower. Their hallmark teamwork and well-drilled defaults remain a testament to their coach’s work.
Chance of Victory – 9.52%: Their quarterfinal against G2 is about 60-40 in their favor, but if they advance, facing Eternal Fire will be a massive challenge. Even if they reach the final, they would be up against one of three powerhouse teams. They aren’t the favorites, but they have the potential to surprise.
G2 Esports: Chaos in the Hands of Talent
Group Stage Performance: G2 battled through Group B, defeating Imperial, falling to EF, then making it to the playoffs via wins over M80 and The MongolZ.
Form: Since NiKo’s departure to Falcons, G2 has been searching for stability. The biggest responsibility falls on Snax as IGL, tasked with harnessing the immense talent in his squad alongside TaZ. Currently, every player is trying to help the captain, making their playstyle feel like controlled chaos.
Chance of Victory – 5.26%: Unfortunately for G2, they face teams with strong tactical foundations. Both MOUZ and EF thrive on countering disorder. However, with m0NESY, malbsMd, and huNter – each capable of dropping 30+ kills per map – G2 can never be fully counted out.
Playoff Results:
Quarterfinals:
- Team Spirit 2:0 NAVI
- MOUZ 2:1 G2
Semifinals:
- Vitality 2:1 Team Spirit
- Eternal Fire 2:1 MOUZ
Grand Final:
- Vitality 3:0 Eternal Fire
Conclusion: Vitality – Kings of Lisbon
At this moment, Vitality isn’t just playing to win tournaments – they are building a legacy. In their current form, they seem unstoppable, determined to etch their names into Counter-Strike history.
